Templates
Decision Report — <Idea>
Date: YYYY-MM-DD
Audience / geography:
Decision: GO_TO_EXPERIMENT / TEST_MORE / PIVOT / STOP
Evidence coverage: __ / 100 weight
Observed score on scored criteria: __ / 100 (NOT probability of success)
Executive summary
2–5 sentences with key evidence and key uncertainty.
Top signals
| Claim | Fact / inference / hypothesis | Evidence IDs | Confidence |
|---|
Scorecard
Link to scorecard.csv; call out unknowns and failed gates explicitly.
Main alternatives / competitors
Who users currently pay or spend time with; why they might not switch.
Dealbreakers
Up to 5, with falsification tests and honest counterevidence.
Decision rationale
Why this next action is most capital-efficient. Never claim market validation on desk research alone.
Next 2–3 experiments
Refer to experiments.md, thresholds and cost caps.